wwehh Posted December 7, 2013 Report Share Posted December 7, 2013 I've decided to model infectious diseases and my teacher said it should be doable if I could determine my parameters. However I am very confused as to how I should go on with this. Am I supposed to use an already available equation? Or should I make my own? How do I make this mathematical enough? I can't just plug in numbers and turn it into a graph...I'm actually not even sure about my focus. Reply Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
klhollomon Posted December 7, 2013 Report Share Posted December 7, 2013 Well you definitely need to narrow parameters and determine a focus, as your teacher said. First off, pick a certain disease, as all diseases spread at different rates. For instance, you could take a disease like influenza (flu) and model how it multiplies and spread over the course of 1 day, 1 week, etc. in a certain area. You would have to research the actual numbers, but here are some made-up numbers just to provide an example:Let's say 1,000 people that go out in public in one day in London have the flu, and the chance of them spreading it to at least 1 other person is about 30%. This would lead us to an exponential function that looked something like:1000(1.30)^X 1 Day: 1300 infected people2 Days: 1690 infected people3 Days: 2197 infected peopleetc.Hope this helps and good luck! Reply Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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