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Maths IA discussing US swing states in national elections

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Hello! I'm a Maths SL student with a strong interest in politics, and therefore I'm trying to write my IA on that topic, however, I'm having a very hard time focusing in on an area to address. The working title right now is "Independent Votes: How Registered Independents In US Swing States Vote During National Elections", but I feel that it is both too long, and maybe too difficult to address. I've only just started the probability/statistics block of the course, so would anyone know what specific maths topic (from the SL syllabus) I could address? Anyone have any experience writing an IA in this field?

Thank you in advance!

Edited by Gabri

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