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probability ia

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hi there, I am doing my IA on probability and actually I cannot find any example of this kind of topic. I am concerned about my calculations, because I feel like just calculating the probability or making probability tree diagrams is too simple. any advice about calculations? can they just be like this or should I somehow improve them?

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Remember math IA is more than calculation but more importantly communication. You can describe your calculations and justify why they are right and what you find interesting.

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