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HELP for Math SL IA: Modelling the development of swimming performance in the Asian Games

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Hi!

So my math sl ia is due sometime soon, and I can't seem to get started with it. This is the fifth time I've changed my topic, so I've wasted quite a lot of time. I finally decided to do my math sl ia on this topic: Modelling the development of swimming performance in the Asian Games.I'm planning to focus on the gold medal winning times in the women's 50 and 100 freestyle. 

However, I'm not sure on what mathematical concepts and processes I'm supposed to use to model it. I've read a lot of literature on it, but I still don't quite grasp the concept of how to model it. I've tried asking my teacher, but she isn't much help.

Anyone can give me some guiding points on how I should take on the topic? 

Thank you so much!

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