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Math HL IA- Predicting the stock price

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I have 2 weeks to submit my math practice IA. I decided to do something with predicting the stock price but I'm not able to figure how to go about it. I did some research and came across the Monte Carlo simulation. But I'm not sure it there is enough math in it because it just some basic statistics and probability. I then came across the Black Scholes model and it seems like there is enough math in it but I'm stuck on how to go about it. We haven't covered a lot of concepts in class yet so can someone give me some direction as to where to start and what I can do?

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